Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa Sunday 16th August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Amarante Lusitânia Lourosa

Amarante L L W W D D

Lusitânia Lourosa W D D W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Amarante	Lusitânia Lourosa	1 - 1	April 26, 2025
Lusitânia Lourosa	Amarante	2 - 1	March 1, 2025
Lusitânia Lourosa	Amarante	1 - 0	January 4, 2025
Amarante	Lusitânia Lourosa	1 - 0	September 14, 2024
Amarante	Lusitânia Lourosa	0 - 0	May 20, 2023
Lusitânia Lourosa	Amarante	1 - 0	April 30, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Moreirense	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Away	Chaves	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Guimaraes B	1 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	União Santarém	1 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Trofense	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	CF Os Belenenses	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Paredes	4 - 2	Win
Jul 29, 26	Home	FC Porto B	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 29, 26	Home	Leça	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Academico Viseu	1 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	SC Braga B	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Away	Famalicao	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Lusitânia Lourosa	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Amarante	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Amarante has a 51.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.81 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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