Primera A
Match Analysis
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
W
W
D
W
W
L
Atletico Nacional
W
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Atletico Nacional has been the stronger side in meetings between these two teams, often leading to games filled with goals. The model predicts a home win with a 36% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds suggest for America de Cali. The model also sees a good chance of **over 1.5 goals** happening (51%), aligning closely with the market's strong preference for this outcome, and a moderate chance of **both teams scoring** (53%).
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | America de Cali | 2 - 1 | February 5, 2026 |
| America de Cali | Atletico Nacional | 3 - 2 | December 8, 2025 |
| Atletico Nacional | America de Cali | 1 - 0 | November 21, 2025 |
| America de Cali | Atletico Nacional | 2 - 2 | November 16, 2025 |
| Atletico Nacional | America de Cali | 4 - 1 | November 2, 2025 |
| America de Cali | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 1 | August 24, 2025 |
America de Cali Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Once Caldas | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Chico | 7 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Real Cartagena | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | La Equidad | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Real Cartagena | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Atletico Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Tigres FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Tigres FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Tachira FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 8, 26 | Home | Junior | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 3, 26 | Away | Junior | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 26 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 52 | 21 | +31 | 58 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 20 | +16 | 43 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
America de Cali to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that America de Cali has a 35.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.88 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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