America de Cali vs Real Cartagena Wednesday 22nd July 2026 04:30 AM football predictions.

America de Cali Real Cartagena

America de Cali D D L D W W

Real Cartagena W L W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Home	Macara	0 - 0	Draw
May 20, 26	Home	Tigre	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	Santa Fe	4 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Santa Fe	1 - 1	Draw
May 7, 26	Away	Alianza Atletico	0 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Deportivo Pereira	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 27, 25	Home	Millonarios	2 - 1	Win
Aug 1, 25	Away	Millonarios	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 24	Home	Envigado	2 - 1	Win
May 8, 24	Away	Envigado	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 24, 24	Home	Huila	3 - 1	Win
Apr 10, 24	Away	Huila	2 - 0	Loss

This prediction indicates that America de Cali has a 57.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.52 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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