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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

July 12, 2026 4 days, 21 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

America SP José Bonifácio
America SP W D D W W W
José Bonifácio W W D W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
America SP José Bonifácio 1 - 1 June 20, 2026
José Bonifácio America SP 1 - 1 May 17, 2026

America SP Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Home Santacruzense 3 - 0 Win
Jun 28, 26 Away Santacruzense 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home José Bonifácio 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Away Santa Fé FC 1 - 3 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Tupa 3 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Riopretano 2 - 0 Win

José Bonifácio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Home Manthiqueira 2 - 1 Win
Jun 27, 26 Away Manthiqueira 0 - 2 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away America SP 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Assisense 1 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Riopretano 1 - 1 Draw
May 29, 26 Away Santa Fé FC 0 - 2 Win

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 José Bonifácio 11 7 4 0 19 6 +13 25
6 America SP 12 6 5 1 16 7 +9 23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
America SP to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that America SP has a 40.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.03 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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