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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
3 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

America SP Tupa
America SP W D D W L D
Tupa D L W W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tupa America SP 2 - 0 May 2, 2026

America SP Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Riopretano 2 - 0 Win
May 22, 26 Away Assisense 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away José Bonifácio 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Santa FĂ© FC 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Tupa 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Riopretano 0 - 0 Draw

Tupa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Assisense 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away José Bonifácio 2 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Away Santa FĂ© FC 1 - 3 Win
May 9, 26 Home Riopretano 2 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Home America SP 2 - 0 Win
Apr 24, 26 Away Assisense 3 - 2 Loss

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 America SP 7 3 3 1 6 4 +2 12
13 Tupa 7 3 1 3 11 11 0 10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! âś…

America SP to win
This prediction indicates that America SP has a 44.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.49 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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