Premier League
Match Analysis
Ammanford AFC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ammanford AFC
L
D
L
L
L
GAP Connah S Quay FC
W
W
L
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Ammanford AFC have had poor form recently and have struggled defensively, while GAP Connah S Quay FC come in with moderate form and strong attacking play. The model predicts a 72% chance that GAP Connah S Quay FC will win, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. The model also leans towards over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, seeing more chances of a higher-scoring game than the odds imply.
Ammanford AFC Form (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Airbus UK | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Colwyn Bay | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Briton Ferry | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 24 | Home | Haverfordwest County AFC | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 21 | Home | Haverfordwest County AFC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
GAP Connah S Quay FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Trefelin | 6 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Holywell | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Caernarfon Town | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Ballkani | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Ballkani | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Queen of the South | 0 - 1 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 6 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win
This prediction indicates that GAP Connah S Quay FC has a 71.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.36 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments