Antequera vs Real Jaén Sunday 27th September 2026 07:15 PM football predictions.

Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Sept. 27, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Antequera Real Jaén

Antequera D L W L W W

Real Jaén W D W L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Home	Alcorcon	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Zaragoza	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Ibiza	3 - 2	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Granada CF	0 - 3	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Juventud Torremolinos	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Sabadell	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Teruel	0 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Huesca	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 30, 26	Away	Europa Fc	0 - 3	Win
Aug 6, 26	Home	Cordoba	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Away	Cacereño	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 29, 25	Home	Eldense	1 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Real Jaén	2	1	1	0	5	2	+3	4
11	Antequera	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3

This prediction indicates that Antequera has a 36.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.09 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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