AO Itabaiana vs Caxias Monday 10th August 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

AO Itabaiana Caxias

AO Itabaiana D W W W L D

Caxias D W D D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
AO Itabaiana	Caxias	2 - 1	May 24, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Confiança	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 13, 26	Home	Brusque	1 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Amazonas	0 - 2	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Ferroviária	1 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Anápolis	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Ituano	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Floresta	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Ferroviária	0 - 1	Win
Jun 30, 26	Home	Anápolis	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Maringá	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Guarani Campinas	2 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Ituano	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Caxias	14	5	6	3	13	10	+3	21
16	AO Itabaiana	15	4	5	6	13	18	-5	17

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that AO Itabaiana will score 0 goals, and Caxias will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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