Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia Saturday 20th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Aparecidense Capital Brasilia

Aparecidense D D L D W D

Capital Brasilia W W D W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aparecidense	Capital Brasilia	2 - 1	July 26, 2025
Capital Brasilia	Aparecidense	0 - 1	April 19, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Gama	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Primavera MG	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Luverdense	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Inhumas	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Brasiliense	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Brasiliense	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	União Rondonópolis	2 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	CEOV Operário	1 - 5	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Goiatuba EC	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Ceilândia	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Mixto	1 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Mixto	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Capital Brasilia	10	7	2	1	16	6	+10	23
50	Aparecidense	10	3	4	3	13	12	+1	13

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Capital Brasilia has a 36.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.72 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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