Aparecidense vs Primavera MG Saturday 30th May 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Aparecidense Primavera MG

Aparecidense L D W D W L

Primavera MG L W W W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Primavera MG	Aparecidense	1 - 3	April 12, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Luverdense	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Inhumas	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Brasiliense	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Brasiliense	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Inhumas	3 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Luverdense	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Gama	4 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Luverdense	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Inhumas	0 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Inhumas	2 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Luverdense	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Home	Gama	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
44	Aparecidense	8	3	2	3	10	9	+1	11
47	Primavera MG	8	3	2	3	8	10	-2	11

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Aparecidense has a 58.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.28 %

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply