FKF Premier League
Match Analysis
APS Bomet
GOR Mahia
APS Bomet
D
W
W
W
W
W
GOR Mahia
L
D
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| APS Bomet | GOR Mahia | 1 - 2 | February 15, 2026 |
| GOR Mahia | APS Bomet | 1 - 4 | November 25, 2025 |
APS Bomet Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | Tusker | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | AFC Leopards | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Bandari | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Mathare United | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 6, 26 | Home | KCB | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Sofapaka | 1 - 0 | Win |
GOR Mahia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Home | Nairobi United | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Mara Sugar | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Murang'a SEAL | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Police | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Homeboyz | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | AFC Leopards | 0 - 1 | Win |
FKF Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | GOR Mahia | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | APS Bomet | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.GOR Mahia to win
This prediction indicates that GOR Mahia has a 46.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.12 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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