Araguaína vs Nacional AM Sunday 21st June 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Araguaína Nacional AM

Araguaína W L D L W W

Nacional AM W D W L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Araguaína Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Galvez	9 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Guaporé	3 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Porto Velho	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Independência	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Humaitá	0 - 7	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Humaitá	6 - 0	Win

Nacional AM Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Monte Roraima	3 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Manaus FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	GAS	0 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Manauara	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Sao Raimundo	0 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Sao Raimundo	0 - 0	Draw

Serie D Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Nacional AM	10	6	2	2	15	9	+6	20
18	Araguaína	10	5	3	2	31	9	+22	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.61% likelihood that both Araguaína and Nacional AM will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Araguaína to win

This prediction indicates that Araguaína has a 53.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.89 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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