UEFA Champions League
Match Analysis
Ararat-Armenia
Celje
Ararat-Armenia
L
W
L
W
D
D
Celje
D
D
D
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia | Celje | 0 - 0 | September 24, 2020 |
Ararat-Armenia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Shamrock Rovers | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Shamrock Rovers | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Riga | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | Riga | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Vojvodina | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Mura | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Celje Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Mura | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Istra 1961 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | MTK Budapest | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Cukaricki | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.91% likelihood that both Ararat-Armenia and Celje will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Celje to win
This prediction indicates that Celje has a 47.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.51 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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