Arbroath vs Brechin Saturday 04th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Arbroath Brechin

Arbroath L D L D D W

Brechin W L W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Brechin	Arbroath	1 - 2	June 25, 2022
Brechin	Arbroath	1 - 1	April 13, 2019
Arbroath	Brechin	1 - 0	January 5, 2019
Brechin	Arbroath	1 - 5	November 17, 2018
Arbroath	Brechin	2 - 2	September 1, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	ST Mirren	2 - 4	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Dunfermline	0 - 0	Draw
May 5, 26	Away	Dunfermline	1 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Away	Dunfermline	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Partick	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Raith Rovers	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	St. Andrews	2 - 1	Win
Nov 29, 25	Away	Kelty Hearts	2 - 0	Loss
Oct 25, 25	Home	Dundonald Bluebell	3 - 1	Win
Sep 27, 25	Away	Lochee United	1 - 3	Win
Jul 22, 25	Home	Cove Rangers	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 19, 25	Away	Spartans	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1095	Brechin	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
2443	Arbroath	1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Arbroath has a 43.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.97 %

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