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Championship

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Arbroath Inverness CT
Arbroath L L L W W W
Inverness CT W W D W L L
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Inverness CT Arbroath 3 - 0 April 26, 2025
Arbroath Inverness CT 3 - 0 February 8, 2025
Inverness CT Arbroath 0 - 2 December 14, 2024
Arbroath Inverness CT 1 - 0 October 5, 2024
Inverness CT Arbroath 0 - 0 July 23, 2024
Inverness CT Arbroath 2 - 1 April 6, 2024

Arbroath Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 21, 26 Home Montrose 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Dundee Utd 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Spartans 1 - 2 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Brechin 4 - 1 Win
Jun 30, 26 Away Dunipace 0 - 4 Win

Inverness CT Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 21, 26 Home ST Johnstone 1 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Linlithgow Rose 0 - 2 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home East Fife 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 7, 26 Away Cove Rangers 1 - 4 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Ross County 0 - 4 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Away Forres Mechanics 2 - 1 Loss

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Inverness CT None None None None None None None None
None Arbroath None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Arbroath to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Arbroath has a 37.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.08 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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