Arbroath vs Montrose Tuesday 21st July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Arbroath Montrose

Arbroath W W L D L D

Montrose L D D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Montrose	Arbroath	0 - 1	April 5, 2025
Arbroath	Montrose	3 - 0	December 28, 2024
Montrose	Arbroath	1 - 1	November 9, 2024
Arbroath	Montrose	3 - 0	September 7, 2024
Arbroath	Montrose	0 - 0	August 10, 2024
Arbroath	Montrose	3 - 0	July 29, 2023

Arbroath Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Brechin	4 - 1	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Dunipace	0 - 4	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	ST Mirren	2 - 4	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Dunfermline	0 - 0	Draw
May 5, 26	Away	Dunfermline	1 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Away	Dunfermline	0 - 0	Draw

Montrose Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Civil Service Strollers	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Queen of the South	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	0 - 2	Loss

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Montrose	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Arbroath	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.07% likelihood that both Arbroath and Montrose will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Arbroath to win

This prediction indicates that Arbroath has a 61.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.30 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 77.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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