First League
Match Analysis
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
W
W
L
W
D
L
Botev Plovdiv
L
W
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 1 | June 26, 2026 |
| Botev Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Arda Kardzhali | Botev Plovdiv | 0 - 2 | April 26, 2026 |
| Arda Kardzhali | Botev Plovdiv | 0 - 0 | December 2, 2025 |
| Botev Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 0 - 5 | August 4, 2025 |
| Botev Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 1 | March 9, 2025 |
Arda Kardzhali Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Sofia | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Dunav Ruse | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | CSKA 1948 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Slavia Sofia | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Septemvri Sofia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Botev Vratsa | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Botev Plovdiv Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Ludogorets | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Spartak Varna | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Cherno More Varna | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | CSKA Sofia | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Sofia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Beroe | 4 - 0 | Win |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Arda Kardzhali to win
This prediction indicates that Arda Kardzhali has a 49.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.25 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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