Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia Monday 17th August 2026 09:15 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Arda Kardzhali Lokomotiv Sofia

Arda Kardzhali L W D L D L

Lokomotiv Sofia D L D D D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lokomotiv Sofia	Arda Kardzhali	0 - 0	November 28, 2025
Arda Kardzhali	Lokomotiv Sofia	1 - 1	July 27, 2025
Arda Kardzhali	Lokomotiv Sofia	5 - 0	April 13, 2025
Lokomotiv Sofia	Arda Kardzhali	0 - 2	November 2, 2024
Lokomotiv Sofia	Arda Kardzhali	0 - 1	December 9, 2023
Arda Kardzhali	Lokomotiv Sofia	1 - 0	August 11, 2023

Arda Kardzhali Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	CSKA 1948	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	Slavia Sofia	1 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Away	Botev Vratsa	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 7, 26	Home	Beitar Jerusalem	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 0	Loss

Lokomotiv Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	Slavia Sofia	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Levski Sofia	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Botev Plovdiv	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Teuta Durrës	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Dukagjini	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Home	Drita	2 - 1	Win

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Arda Kardzhali	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
9	Lokomotiv Sofia	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Arda Kardzhali to win

This prediction indicates that Arda Kardzhali has a 55.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.72 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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