Argentina vs Bolivia Wednesday 30th September 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

Sept. 30, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Argentina Bolivia

Argentina D W D W D W

Bolivia L L W L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bolivia	Argentina	1 - 4	June 29, 2021
Argentina	Bolivia	3 - 0	June 15, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Away	Spain	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Away	England	1 - 2	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	Switzerland	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 7, 26	Home	Egypt	3 - 2	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Cape Verde Islands	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Away	Jordan	1 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 11, 26	Home	Algeria	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Scotland	0 - 4	Loss
Mar 15, 26	Home	Trinidad and Tobago	3 - 0	Win
Jan 25, 26	Home	Mexico	0 - 1	Loss
Jan 18, 26	Home	Panama	1 - 1	Draw
Dec 21, 25	Away	Peru	2 - 0	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.75% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Argentina has a 70.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.34 %

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