Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Argentino Quilmes
Villa San Carlos
Argentino Quilmes
W
D
D
D
D
W
Villa San Carlos
W
W
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Argentino Quilmes holds a modest quality advantage over Villa San Carlos, but the two teams show mixed signals in recent form, with Quilmes only moderately consistent and San Carlos actually in stronger recent shape. Recent head-to-head games between them have tended to finish level, and both sides are coming into this match with comparable rest. The model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is slightly more confident than the market odds imply, and also sees the game ending with under 1.5 goals and no goals from both teams — again leaning more strongly toward these outcomes than the market does.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villa San Carlos | Argentino Quilmes | 1 - 1 | April 11, 2026 |
| Argentino Quilmes | Villa San Carlos | 1 - 1 | July 26, 2025 |
| Villa San Carlos | Argentino Quilmes | 2 - 2 | March 8, 2025 |
| Villa San Carlos | Argentino Quilmes | 0 - 0 | September 7, 2024 |
| Argentino Quilmes | Villa San Carlos | 3 - 0 | April 21, 2024 |
| Villa San Carlos | Argentino Quilmes | 1 - 3 | September 9, 2023 |
Argentino Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Liniers | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Real Pilar | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | UAI Urquiza | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Villa Dalmine | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Excursionistas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Arsenal Sarandi | 1 - 0 | Win |
Villa San Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Defensores Unidos | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Comunicaciones | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Dock Sud | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Deportivo Merlo | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Camioneros | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Sportivo Italiano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Argentino Quilmes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 37 |
| 16 | Villa San Carlos | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 32 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Argentino Quilmes to win
This prediction indicates that Argentino Quilmes has a 46.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.26 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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