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Primera C

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 2 days ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Argentino Rosario Lugano
Argentino Rosario D D D D L D
Lugano D L D W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Argentino Rosario Lugano 0 - 1 August 13, 2024
Lugano Argentino Rosario 0 - 2 March 22, 2024
Lugano Argentino Rosario 1 - 2 October 2, 2023
Argentino Rosario Lugano 4 - 2 June 24, 2023
Argentino Rosario Lugano 3 - 0 April 7, 2023
Argentino Rosario Lugano 0 - 3 July 23, 2022

Argentino Rosario Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Estrella Del Sur 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Berazategui 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Central Cordoba 0 - 0 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Victoriano Arenas 1 - 1 Draw
May 4, 26 Away Centro Español 3 - 2 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home JJ Urquiza 1 - 1 Draw

Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Deportivo Paraguayo 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Estrella Del Sur 3 - 2 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Leones de Rosario 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Puerto Nuevo 3 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away Berazategui 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Leandro N. Alem 2 - 2 Draw

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
15 Lugano 14 4 6 4 18 15 +3 18
25 Argentino Rosario 14 1 9 4 15 17 -2 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Argentino Rosario to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Argentino Rosario has a 38.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.91 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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