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Ettan - Södra logo

Ettan - Södra

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ariana trelleborgs FF
Ariana W L W W W W
trelleborgs FF L D W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
trelleborgs FF Ariana 1 - 1 April 11, 2026

Ariana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Jonkopings Sodra 1 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Olympic 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Away Lund 1 - 4 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Eskilsminne 2 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Laholm 4 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away Skövde AIK 0 - 4 Win

trelleborgs FF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Home Al Diriyah 1 - 4 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Away Kristianstad 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 18, 26 Home Rosengård 3 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Hässleholms IF 0 - 2 Win
Jun 10, 26 Home Osters IF 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Skövde AIK 4 - 0 Win

Ettan - Södra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 trelleborgs FF 14 9 5 0 33 12 +21 32
2 Ariana 14 8 3 3 28 16 +12 27

Predictions

Ariana to win
This prediction indicates that Ariana has a 47.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.31 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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