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Ettan - Norra logo

Ettan - Norra

Aug. 9, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Arlanda Piteå
Arlanda W W W W W L
Piteå L D L L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Piteå Arlanda 1 - 2 May 3, 2026

Arlanda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Haninge 6 - 1 Win
Jun 27, 26 Home IF Karlstad 1 - 0 Win
Jun 18, 26 Home Stocksund 1 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Järfälla 2 - 3 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Assyriska FF 2 - 0 Win
Jun 1, 26 Home gefle IF 2 - 3 Loss

Piteå Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 24, 26 Away Karlberg 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home AFC Eskilstuna 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Away Umeå FC 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Enköping 0 - 2 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Stockholm Internazionale 2 - 2 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Sollentuna 2 - 2 Draw

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Arlanda 14 8 5 1 23 10 +13 29
15 Piteå 14 2 3 9 16 32 -16 9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.29% likelihood that both Arlanda and Piteå will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Arlanda to win
This prediction indicates that Arlanda has a 72.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.60 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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