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Ettan - Norra logo

Ettan - Norra

June 18, 2026 1 week, 4 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Arlanda Stocksund
Arlanda W W L D D D
Stocksund D W D D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Stocksund Arlanda 2 - 1 August 3, 2025
Arlanda Stocksund 5 - 3 May 23, 2025
Stocksund Arlanda 5 - 2 October 12, 2021
Arlanda Stocksund 1 - 1 June 23, 2021

Arlanda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Järfälla 2 - 3 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Assyriska FF 2 - 0 Win
Jun 1, 26 Home gefle IF 2 - 3 Loss
May 23, 26 Away FBK Karlstad 0 - 0 Draw
May 18, 26 Away AFC Eskilstuna 0 - 0 Draw
May 13, 26 Home Karlberg 1 - 1 Draw

Stocksund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home Sollentuna 3 - 3 Draw
Jun 8, 26 Away Järfälla 1 - 6 Win
May 31, 26 Away Umeå FC 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Assyriska FF 3 - 3 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Piteå 2 - 3 Loss
May 14, 26 Away IF Karlstad 1 - 0 Loss

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Arlanda 12 6 5 1 21 10 +11 23
15 Stocksund 12 1 5 6 27 33 -6 8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.59% likelihood that both Arlanda and Stocksund will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Arlanda to win
This prediction indicates that Arlanda has a 50.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.64 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 76.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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