Armenia vs Latvia Friday 25th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

UEFA Nations League

Sept. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Armenia Latvia

Armenia D D L L L L

Latvia W W L D L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Latvia	Armenia	1 - 2	November 17, 2024
Armenia	Latvia	4 - 1	September 7, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Home	Moldova	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	Kazakhstan	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 29, 26	Home	Belarus	1 - 2	Loss
Nov 16, 25	Away	Portugal	9 - 1	Loss
Nov 13, 25	Home	Hungary	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 14, 25	Away	Rep. Of Ireland	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 31, 26	Home	Gibraltar	1 - 0	Win
Mar 26, 26	Away	Gibraltar	0 - 1	Win
Nov 16, 25	Away	Serbia	2 - 1	Loss
Nov 13, 25	Away	FYR Macedonia	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 14, 25	Home	England	0 - 5	Loss
Oct 11, 25	Home	Andorra	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Latvia has a 38.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.61 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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