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2. Bundesliga

Sept. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld FC St. Pauli
Arminia Bielefeld W L D W W W
FC St. Pauli D D D L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC St. Pauli Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 1 April 29, 2023
Arminia Bielefeld FC St. Pauli 2 - 0 October 22, 2022
FC St. Pauli Arminia Bielefeld 3 - 0 December 21, 2019
Arminia Bielefeld FC St. Pauli 1 - 1 July 29, 2019
FC St. Pauli Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 1 April 14, 2019
Arminia Bielefeld FC St. Pauli 1 - 2 November 4, 2018

Arminia Bielefeld Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Home Energie Cottbus 3 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Karlsruher SC 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home MSV Duisburg 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Bologna 0 - 4 Win
Jul 14, 26 Away Imst 0 - 10 Win
Jul 8, 26 Away FC Gutersloh 0 - 3 Win

FC St. Pauli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Deportivo La Coruna 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Away Bournemouth 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Away HNK Gorica 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away SV Babelsberg 03 1 - 4 Win

2. Bundesliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 FC St. Pauli 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
15 Arminia Bielefeld 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.28% likelihood that both Arminia Bielefeld and FC St. Pauli will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Arminia Bielefeld to win
This prediction indicates that Arminia Bielefeld has a 51.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.43 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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