Primeira Liga
Match Analysis
Arouca
Moreirense
Arouca
L
D
D
L
W
W
Moreirense
W
D
L
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | Arouca | 0 - 1 | March 21, 2026 |
| Arouca | Moreirense | 0 - 2 | November 2, 2025 |
| Arouca | Moreirense | 1 - 0 | January 24, 2025 |
| Moreirense | Arouca | 3 - 1 | August 18, 2024 |
| Moreirense | Arouca | 1 - 0 | March 17, 2024 |
| Arouca | Moreirense | 0 - 1 | October 27, 2023 |
Arouca Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Santa Clara | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Famalicao | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Feirense | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Rio Ave | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Tondela | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 11, 26 | Away | GIL Vicente | 1 - 3 | Win |
Moreirense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Amarante | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | GIL Vicente | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Santa Clara | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | AVS | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | AVS | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 11, 26 | Away | Tondela | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Primeira Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Moreirense | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Arouca | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.93% likelihood that both Arouca and Moreirense will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Arouca to win
This prediction indicates that Arouca has a 45.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.88 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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