Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva Sunday 02nd August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Arsenal Tula Torpedo Moskva

Arsenal Tula W D D D L L

Torpedo Moskva W W W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Torpedo Moskva	Arsenal Tula	1 - 1	April 12, 2026
Arsenal Tula	Torpedo Moskva	2 - 2	October 11, 2025
Arsenal Tula	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 1	March 30, 2025
Torpedo Moskva	Arsenal Tula	2 - 2	September 9, 2024
Torpedo Moskva	Arsenal Tula	1 - 1	April 20, 2024
Arsenal Tula	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 1	August 28, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 13, 26	Home	Tekstilshchik	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Home	Volga Ulyanovsk	1 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Rodina Moskva	1 - 4	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 13, 26	Away	Ural	0 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	0 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Dynamo	0 - 2	Win
Jun 22, 26	Home	Volga Ulyanovsk	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	FC Krasnodar	3 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Enisey	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Torpedo Moskva	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Arsenal Tula	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.48% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Torpedo Moskva has a 39.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.45 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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