CONCACAF Nations League
Match Analysis
Aruba
Antigua and Barbuda
Aruba
L
W
L
L
L
L
Antigua and Barbuda
D
L
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aruba | Antigua and Barbuda | 2 - 3 | November 19, 2019 |
| Antigua and Barbuda | Aruba | 2 - 1 | September 9, 2019 |
Aruba Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Curaçao | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Mar 25, 25 | Away | Cambodia | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Nov 18, 24 | Home | Sint Maarten | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Nov 16, 24 | Away | Puerto Rico | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 15, 24 | Away | Haiti | 5 - 3 | Loss |
| Oct 12, 24 | Home | Haiti | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Antigua and Barbuda Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 24 | Home | Dominica | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Nov 16, 24 | Away | Bermuda | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 15, 24 | Away | Dominican Republic | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 12, 24 | Home | Dominican Republic | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Sep 10, 24 | Home | Bermuda | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 7, 24 | Away | Dominica | 2 - 1 | Loss |
CONCACAF Nations League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Antigua and Barbuda | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Aruba | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.83% likelihood that both Aruba and Antigua and Barbuda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Aruba to win
This prediction indicates that Aruba has a 52.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.12 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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