ASA vs Cianorte Saturday 25th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

ASA Cianorte

ASA W W W D D D

Cianorte D W L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Ivinhema	4 - 0	Win
Jul 6, 26	Away	Ivinhema	1 - 2	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sergipe	0 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Sergipe	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	Jacuipense	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	CSE	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	XV de Piracicaba	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	XV de Piracicaba	4 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Independiente FSJ	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Independiente FSJ	0 - 1	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	Guarany de Bagé	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Santa Catarina	1 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	ASA	14	7	5	2	19	9	+10	26
17	Cianorte	14	7	2	5	14	9	+5	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that ASA has a 43.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.97 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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