ASA vs Gama Sunday 23rd August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Serie D

Aug. 23, 2026 5 days, 17 hours from now VS

ASA Gama

ASA D D W W W W

Gama W D W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 16, 26	Home	Goiatuba EC	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Goiatuba EC	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Home	Cianorte	5 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Cianorte	0 - 1	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	Ivinhema	4 - 0	Win
Jul 6, 26	Away	Ivinhema	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 16, 26	Home	Sao Jose	4 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Sao Jose	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Home	America-RN	3 - 2	Win
Jul 19, 26	Away	America-RN	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Home	Porto Velho	2 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Porto Velho	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Gama	17	12	3	2	32	13	+19	39
5	ASA	17	9	6	2	25	10	+15	33

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that ASA has a 40.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.53 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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