Serie D
Match Analysis
ASA
Goiatuba EC
ASA
D
W
W
W
W
W
Goiatuba EC
D
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two teams are closely matched in overall quality, but ASA are showing strong recent form and have been in good attacking shape. The model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. The odds also imply a higher likelihood of goals than the model, which leans toward an outcome with fewer goals—predicting both teams not to score and the match to stay under 1.5 goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goiatuba EC | ASA | 0 - 0 | August 8, 2026 |
ASA Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Goiatuba EC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Cianorte | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Cianorte | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Ivinhema | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Ivinhema | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Sergipe | 0 - 1 | Win |
Goiatuba EC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | ASA | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Ferroviario | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Ferroviario | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Manauara | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Manauara | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Brasiliense | 1 - 0 | Win |
Serie D Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ASA | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 33 |
| 6 | Goiatuba EC | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 33 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.92% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.ASA to win
This prediction indicates that ASA has a 45.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.37 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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