ASA vs Ivinhema Saturday 11th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

ASA Ivinhema

ASA W D D D D W

Ivinhema D W D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sergipe	0 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Sergipe	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	Jacuipense	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	CSE	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	CSA	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Juazeirense	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 29, 26	Away	Democrata GV	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Democrata GV	3 - 1	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	CRAC	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Uberlandia	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Ipatinga	3 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Operario Ferroviario	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
22	ASA	12	5	5	2	13	8	+5	20
46	Ivinhema	11	4	4	3	12	13	-1	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that ASA has a 41.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.55 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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