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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 21, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

ASA Sergipe
ASA D D D W W L
Sergipe D L L D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
ASA Sergipe 2 - 2 July 5, 2025
Sergipe ASA 1 - 2 May 10, 2025
Sergipe ASA 0 - 2 January 4, 2025
ASA Sergipe 2 - 0 July 21, 2024
Sergipe ASA 2 - 3 April 27, 2024
ASA Sergipe 1 - 1 July 1, 2023

ASA Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away Jacuipense 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away CSE 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Home CSA 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Juazeirense 1 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Home Atlético Alagoinhas 3 - 0 Win
May 7, 26 Away Sport Recife 1 - 0 Loss

Sergipe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Home Serra Branca 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Decisão 3 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Treze 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Lagarto 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Retrô 1 - 0 Win
May 4, 26 Away Retrô 1 - 3 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
32 ASA 10 4 4 2 11 7 +4 16
39 Sergipe 10 4 3 3 15 13 +2 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that ASA will score 0 goals, and Sergipe will score 0 goals in the football match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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