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Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs logo

Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
3 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ascoli Union Brescia
Ascoli D L W W D L
Union Brescia D W D D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Union Brescia Ascoli 1 - 1 June 3, 2026

Ascoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 3, 26 Away Union Brescia 1 - 1 Draw
May 27, 26 Away Catania 2 - 1 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Catania 4 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Home Potenza 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Potenza 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Città di Campobasso 1 - 0 Loss

Union Brescia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 3, 26 Home Ascoli 1 - 1 Draw
May 27, 26 Home Salernitana 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Salernitana 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 26 Home Casarano 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Casarano 0 - 3 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Inter U23 0 - 1 Win

Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Union Brescia 5 2 3 0 7 2 +5 9
4 Ascoli 5 2 2 1 7 3 +4 8

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.48% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ascoli to win
This prediction indicates that Ascoli has a 46.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.08 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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