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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

June 20, 2026 1 week, 2 days ago
4 – 4
Full Time

Match Analysis

Assisense Riopretano
Assisense L W D D D D
Riopretano L D L W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Riopretano Assisense 1 - 1 May 17, 2026

Assisense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away José Bonifácio 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Home Santa FĂ© FC 4 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Away Tupa 1 - 1 Draw
May 22, 26 Home America SP 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Riopretano 1 - 1 Draw
May 8, 26 Home José Bonifácio 2 - 2 Draw

Riopretano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Home Tupa 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away José Bonifácio 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away America SP 2 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Santa FĂ© FC 2 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Assisense 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Tupa 2 - 0 Loss

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Assisense 9 3 4 2 13 11 +2 13
21 Riopretano 9 1 3 5 5 12 -7 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Assisense to win
This prediction indicates that Assisense has a 43.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.40 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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