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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 3 days ago
4 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Assisense Santa Fé FC
Assisense D D D D W W
Santa Fé FC L L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Santa Fé FC Assisense 0 - 1 May 1, 2026

Assisense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Tupa 1 - 1 Draw
May 22, 26 Home America SP 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Riopretano 1 - 1 Draw
May 8, 26 Home José Bonifácio 2 - 2 Draw
May 1, 26 Away Santa Fé FC 0 - 1 Win
Apr 24, 26 Home Tupa 3 - 2 Win

Santa Fé FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Home José Bonifácio 0 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Riopretano 2 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Tupa 1 - 3 Loss
May 9, 26 Away America SP 1 - 0 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Assisense 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away José Bonifácio 2 - 0 Loss

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Assisense 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10
22 Santa Fé FC 7 1 0 6 5 12 -7 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Assisense to win
This prediction indicates that Assisense has a 60.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.66 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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