Premier League
Match Analysis
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Aston Villa
L
L
W
L
L
W
Arsenal
W
D
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Aston Villa | 4 - 1 | December 30, 2025 |
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | 2 - 1 | December 6, 2025 |
| Arsenal | Aston Villa | 2 - 2 | January 18, 2025 |
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | 0 - 2 | August 24, 2024 |
| Arsenal | Aston Villa | 0 - 2 | April 14, 2024 |
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | 1 - 0 | December 9, 2023 |
Aston Villa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Bayern München | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Bangkok Glass | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Real Sociedad | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | FC Porto | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Walsall | 0 - 5 | Win |
Arsenal Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Manchester City | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | como | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Real Betis | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Girona | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Paris Saint Germain | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Crystal Palace | 1 - 2 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Arsenal | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Aston Villa | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.53% likelihood that both Aston Villa and Arsenal will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Arsenal to win
This prediction indicates that Arsenal has a 48.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.65 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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