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Serie A

Aug. 31, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Atalanta Bologna
Atalanta W W L W D L
Bologna L L W W D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Atalanta Bologna 0 - 1 May 17, 2026
Bologna Atalanta 0 - 2 January 7, 2026
Atalanta Bologna 2 - 0 April 13, 2025
Atalanta Bologna 0 - 1 February 4, 2025
Bologna Atalanta 1 - 1 September 28, 2024
Atalanta Bologna 1 - 2 March 3, 2024

Atalanta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Home Athletic Club 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away FC Schalke 04 0 - 3 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Feyenoord 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Arezzo 3 - 2 Win
May 22, 26 Away Fiorentina 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Bologna 0 - 1 Loss

Bologna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Brighton 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Pisa 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Cambuur 3 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Iraklis 1908 2 - 0 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home FC Heidenheim 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Arminia Bielefeld 0 - 4 Loss

Serie A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Bologna None None None None None None None None
None Atalanta None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Atalanta to win
This prediction indicates that Atalanta has a 57.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.02 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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