Atenas vs La Luz Sunday 14th June 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Atenas La Luz

Atenas L W W L W L

La Luz L D W D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
La Luz	Atenas	2 - 1	April 4, 2026
Atenas	La Luz	2 - 3	September 13, 2025
La Luz	Atenas	1 - 1	June 24, 2025
Atenas	La Luz	1 - 1	November 2, 2024
La Luz	Atenas	1 - 1	July 14, 2024
Atenas	La Luz	1 - 2	September 11, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Cerrito	2 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	CA River Plate	0 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Paysandu	3 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Sportivo Huracan	1 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Uruguay Montevideo	2 - 1	Win
Apr 27, 26	Home	Fenix	1 - 4	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Paysandu	1 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Sportivo Huracan	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Uruguay Montevideo	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Oriental	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Colón	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Cerrito	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	La Luz	11	2	7	2	9	9	0	13
12	Atenas	11	4	1	6	13	17	-4	13

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Atenas has a 45.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.75 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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