Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto Thursday 17th September 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone A

Sept. 17, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Athletic Carpi Ospitaletto

Athletic Carpi D L W L W L

Ospitaletto D W D W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	Juventus U23	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Away	Union Brescia	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	Mantova	0 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Cesena	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	2 - 3	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Forli	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Away	Albinoleffe	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	Lumezzane	2 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Rovato Vertovese	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Padova	1 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Novara	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	PRO Vercelli	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Ospitaletto	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
14	Athletic Carpi	2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ospitaletto has a 37.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.76 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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