Athletic Club vs São Bernardo Tuesday 21st July 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Athletic Club São Bernardo

Athletic Club W L D D W W

São Bernardo L L L D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Athletic Club	São Bernardo	1 - 4	June 29, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Avai	1 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Londrina	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Goias	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 11, 26	Away	Sport Recife	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	1 - 0	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Botafogo SP	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Away	Vila Nova	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Criciuma	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Juventude	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Sport Recife	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	CRB	2 - 3	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Novorizontino	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	São Bernardo	15	7	4	4	20	12	+8	25
11	Athletic Club	15	5	7	3	16	15	+1	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.92% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Athletic Club has a 45.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.33 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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