Athlone Town vs Finn Harps Friday 26th June 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Athlone Town Finn Harps

Athlone Town D L L L L D

Finn Harps L L L D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Finn Harps	Athlone Town	1 - 2	April 24, 2026
Athlone Town	Finn Harps	2 - 1	February 13, 2026
Finn Harps	Athlone Town	2 - 1	August 22, 2025
Athlone Town	Finn Harps	0 - 0	June 20, 2025
Finn Harps	Athlone Town	0 - 2	May 9, 2025
Athlone Town	Finn Harps	0 - 1	March 28, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 19, 26	Home	Wexford	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	Kerry	1 - 0	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	UCD	1 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Cork City	0 - 3	Loss
May 15, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	1 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Treaty United	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 19, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	UCD	0 - 5	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Cork City	4 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Longford Town	2 - 2	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Treaty United	3 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Kerry	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Athlone Town	20	6	5	9	18	25	-7	23
9	Finn Harps	20	4	6	10	18	36	-18	18

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Athlone Town has a 34.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.24 %

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