Primera C
Match Analysis
Atletico Atlas
Argentino Rosario
Atletico Atlas
W
L
D
L
W
W
Argentino Rosario
W
L
D
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two teams are closely matched in overall quality, but Atletico Atlas have moderate recent form while Argentino Rosario have struggled recently. The model predicts a home win with a 40% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, recent meetings between these sides have been tight and low-scoring, aligning with the model's view that goals will be hard to come by.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentino Rosario | Atletico Atlas | 1 - 1 | April 18, 2026 |
| Argentino Rosario | Atletico Atlas | 1 - 0 | September 7, 2025 |
| Atletico Atlas | Argentino Rosario | 1 - 0 | May 25, 2025 |
| Argentino Rosario | Atletico Atlas | 3 - 0 | September 28, 2024 |
| Atletico Atlas | Argentino Rosario | 3 - 3 | April 28, 2024 |
| Atletico Atlas | Argentino Rosario | 2 - 0 | November 4, 2019 |
Atletico Atlas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Canuelas | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Sacachispas | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Deportivo Muñiz | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Deportivo Español | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Central Cordoba | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Claypole | 2 - 1 | Win |
Argentino Rosario Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Mercedes | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Deportivo Paraguayo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Puerto Nuevo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Yupanqui | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Leandro N. Alem | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Defensores de Cambaceres | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Atletico Atlas | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 29 |
| 26 | Argentino Rosario | 23 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Atletico Atlas to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Atletico Atlas has a 39.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.34 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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