Liga Pro Serie B
Match Analysis
Atletico FC
Cumbayá
Atletico FC
D
L
W
D
W
D
Cumbayá
D
D
D
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Atletico FC with a 46% probability. Atletico FC has a modest quality edge and has shown strong attacking form recently, while Cumbayá has poor recent form. Despite Cumbayá having a rest advantage, the model's view aligns with Atletico FC's better recent performance and quality. The model is moderately confident in the home win, seeing it as more likely than not based on the given factors.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cumbayá | Atletico FC | 2 - 2 | March 19, 2026 |
Atletico FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Gualaceo SC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Vargas Torres | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | LDU Portoviejo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Ind. Juniors | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Cumbayá Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Vargas Torres | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | LDU Portoviejo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | 9 de Octubre | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | El Nacional | 0 - 1 | Win |
Liga Pro Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico FC | 21 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 35 |
| 8 | Cumbayá | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 26 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Atletico FC to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico FC has a 46.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.48 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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