Atletico FC vs Cumbayá Wednesday 19th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Atletico FC Cumbayá

Atletico FC W D W D W W

Cumbayá D D D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cumbayá	Atletico FC	2 - 2	March 19, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	LDU Portoviejo	1 - 0	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Home	San Antonio	4 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Ind. Juniors	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 2, 26	Home	El Nacional	3 - 0	Win
Jun 9, 26	Away	22 de Julio	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	San Antonio	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Home	9 de Octubre	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 8, 26	Away	El Nacional	0 - 1	Win
Jul 2, 26	Home	22 de Julio	4 - 0	Win
Jun 10, 26	Away	Gualaceo SC	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Atletico FC	19	8	10	1	22	13	+9	34
7	Cumbayá	19	5	9	5	19	16	+3	24

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Atletico FC has a 43.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.66 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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