Atletico FC vs El Nacional Wednesday 01st July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Atletico FC El Nacional

Atletico FC W D L W D D

El Nacional D L L L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
El Nacional	Atletico FC	1 - 1	April 17, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Away	22 de Julio	0 - 1	Win
Jun 3, 26	Home	9 de Octubre	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Cuniburo	3 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Gualaceo SC	2 - 1	Win
May 15, 26	Away	Vargas Torres	1 - 1	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	LDU Portoviejo	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 11, 26	Home	Vargas Torres	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	4 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	LDU Portoviejo	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	San Antonio	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	9 de Octubre	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	22 de Julio	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Atletico FC	14	5	8	1	14	12	+2	23
12	El Nacional	13	0	3	10	9	23	-14	3

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Atletico FC has a 48.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.01 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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