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Liga Pro Serie B

July 30, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Atletico FC LDU Portoviejo
Atletico FC D W D W W D
LDU Portoviejo W L L D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Atletico FC are favored to win this match, backed by a clear quality advantage over LDU Portoviejo and strong recent form compared to their opponents' poor recent results. Despite Atletico's strong attacking form and LDU's defensive struggles, the model expects a relatively low-scoring game—most likely under 2.5 goals—which suggests LDU may be able to keep the deficit manageable even if Atletico control play. The prediction leans toward a home win without both teams scoring, reflecting Atletico's dominance but also the possibility that LDU's weak recent form limits their ability to create goals of their own.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
LDU Portoviejo Atletico FC 1 - 1 May 8, 2026

Atletico FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 24, 26 Away Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 16, 26 Home San Antonio 4 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Ind. Juniors 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 2, 26 Home El Nacional 3 - 0 Win
Jun 9, 26 Away 22 de Julio 0 - 1 Win
Jun 3, 26 Home 9 de Octubre 0 - 0 Draw

LDU Portoviejo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Vargas Torres 1 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Ind. Juniors 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 9, 26 Away Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home 9 de Octubre 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 10, 26 Away San Antonio 4 - 2 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Gualaceo SC 1 - 0 Win

Liga Pro Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Atletico FC 18 7 10 1 21 13 +8 31
10 LDU Portoviejo 18 6 4 8 15 21 -6 22

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Atletico FC to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico FC has a 52.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.99 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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