Liga Pro Serie B
Match Analysis
Atletico FC
Vargas Torres
Atletico FC
W
D
W
D
W
W
Vargas Torres
D
L
L
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts that Atletico FC will win with a 44% probability. The prediction leans toward a home win due to the clear quality gap favoring Atletico FC and their strong recent form, compared to Vargas Torres's poor recent form. The model also sees a 43% chance that neither team will score, aligning with the general expectation that Atletico FC's stronger attack may dominate, but it reflects some caution about Vargas Torres’s potential to contribute to the match outcome. Overall, the model’s outlook matches the qualitative context of Atletico FC’s superior recent performance and quality.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vargas Torres | Atletico FC | 1 - 1 | May 15, 2026 |
Atletico FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | LDU Portoviejo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Ind. Juniors | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 2, 26 | Home | El Nacional | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 9, 26 | Away | 22 de Julio | 0 - 1 | Win |
Vargas Torres Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | 9 de Octubre | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | LDU Portoviejo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Ind. Juniors | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 11, 26 | Away | El Nacional | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Liga Pro Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico FC | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 34 |
| 9 | Vargas Torres | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 23 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Atletico FC to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Atletico FC has a 44.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.49 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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