Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos Saturday 15th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Atletico Grau Comerciantes Unidos

Atletico Grau L W W L W L

Comerciantes Unidos L D D L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Comerciantes Unidos	Atletico Grau	3 - 1	March 1, 2026
Atletico Grau	Comerciantes Unidos	1 - 2	August 15, 2025
Comerciantes Unidos	Atletico Grau	2 - 2	March 27, 2025
Atletico Grau	Comerciantes Unidos	3 - 0	July 31, 2024
Comerciantes Unidos	Atletico Grau	2 - 2	February 19, 2024

Atletico Grau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Sport Huancayo	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	UTC	3 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Home	UCV Moquegua	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Cusco	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Universitario	0 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Cienciano	1 - 2	Loss

Comerciantes Unidos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	Cultural Santa Rosa	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Alianza Lima	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	UCV Moquegua	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Sport Boys	1 - 0	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Deportivo Garcilaso	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	ADT	2 - 0	Loss

Primera División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Comerciantes Unidos	19	5	8	6	22	24	-2	23
15	Atletico Grau	19	5	4	10	15	21	-6	19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.73% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Atletico Grau to win

This prediction indicates that Atletico Grau has a 49.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.19 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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